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Monday, November 4, 2013

Weekly Outlook TY #YolandaPH @dost_pagasa

Weekly Outlook

Issued at: 7:00 p.m. 04 November 2013
Valid until: 7:00 p.m. 11 November 2013

Today, Tropical Depression "WILMA" has weakened into a Low Pressure Area (LPA). This LPA which is embedded along the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) will bring cloudy skies with moderate to occasionally heavy rains and thunderstorms which may trigger flashfloods and landslides over Visayas and the Regions of Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao and CARAGA while Cagayan Valley, MIMAROPA and the rest of Mindanao will have cloudy skies with light to moderate rainshowers and thunderstorms. Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms

By Tuesday and Wednesday (November 05-06), Southern Luzon and most areas of Visayas and Mindanao will continue to experience light to moderate rainshowers and thunderstorms. On the other hand, the Northeast Monsoon will bring partly cloudy skies with isolated light rains over the regions of Ilocos, Cordillera and Cagayan Valley. Metro Manila and the rest of the archipelago will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated afternoon or evening rainshowers or thunderstorms.

By Thursday morning (November 07), the Tropical Storm (TS) over the pacific ocean with International name "HAIYAN" is expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). This weather disturbance has the possibility to intensify into a Typhoon (TY) and will be given a local name "YOLANDA". Cloudy skies with light to moderate rainshowers and thunderstorms is expected over Samar and Leyte Provinces and CARAGA region as TY "YOLANDA" approaching the eastern sections of Visayas and Mindanao. Metro Manila and the rest of the country will be have partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.

By Friday (November 08), there is a chance that Eastern Visayas will experience stormy weather with rough to very rough seas as TY "YOLANDA" moves closer towards Samar Provinces. Likewise, Bicol region will have rains with gusty wind by late afternoon. Cloudy skies with moderate to occasionally heavy rains is expected over CALABARZON and the rest of Visayas. Metro Manila, CARAGA and Davao Region will continue to experience cloudy skies with light to moderate rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of the country will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated afternoon or evening rainshowers or thunderstorms.

Thereafter, (November 09) if the forecast track of TY "YOLANDA" will be on a west northwest direction, Metro Manila, MIMAROPA, CALABARZON will have rains with gusty winds with moderate to rough seas. Central Luzon and Visayas will be cloudy with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms. The rest of Luzon and Mindanao will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated afternoon or evening rainshowers or thunderstorms.

By Sunday (November 10), TY "YOLANDA" is expected to be over the West Philippine Sea and continue to bring cloudy skies with rains and with gusty winds particularly over Palawan. Rough to very high seas is also expected over the western seaboards of Souther Luzon. Gradual improvement of weather is expected over the rest of Luzon while partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms will continue to persist over the rest of the country. For the rest of the outlook period, partly cloudy to cloudy skies with light rains over Luzon will prevail while Visayas will have generally fair weather conditions, with chances of isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms. The rest of Mindanao howevere, will be cloudy with light to moderate rainshowers or thunderstorms due to the ITCZ.

This outlook will be updated as soon as significant changes in the weather pattern occurs.

Prepared By:

FRC / GSS / JJL
Duty Forecasters

Source : http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/wklyOutlook.html

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